Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.689187 2.833694 2.984482 3.154043 3.339989 3.538362 3.766874
2025-10-26 2.448746 2.657044 2.885329 3.156090 3.471150 3.829591 4.273248
2025-11-02 2.273302 2.512706 2.783474 3.116188 3.519462 3.999917 4.627611
2025-11-09 2.129073 2.385269 2.681842 3.056140 3.524414 4.103272 4.894198
2025-11-16 2.023852 2.293064 2.610862 3.021250 3.549120 4.223638 5.184398
2025-11-23 1.959520 2.243859 2.585813 3.037284 3.634088 4.422627 5.595462
2025-11-30 1.900367 2.196274 2.557973 3.045005 3.704948 4.604347 5.998511
2025-12-07 1.812724 2.108219 2.473475 2.972078 3.659611 4.617738 6.148970
2025-12-14 1.740910 2.036575 2.405872 2.916539 3.632540 4.652123 6.331549
2025-12-21 1.691917 1.991560 2.370004 2.900625 3.658217 4.763089 6.646262
2025-12-28 1.646624 1.949208 2.335262 2.883529 3.679696 4.867467 6.960397
2026-01-04 1.615836 1.924261 2.322056 2.894851 3.742168 5.038488 7.410818
2026-01-11 1.588982 1.904410 2.315987 2.917550 3.825675 5.254690 7.986264
2026-01-18 1.556948 1.876561 2.297912 2.922054 3.881784 5.431837 8.520297
2026-01-25 1.513506 1.831751 2.254486 2.886927 3.872959 5.497417 8.840946
2026-02-01 1.466778 1.780970 2.200819 2.833910 3.831940 5.502824 9.035548
2026-02-08 1.430120 1.742745 2.163291 2.803068 3.824352 5.565969 9.365725
2026-02-15 1.410098 1.726572 2.156074 2.817245 3.890683 5.768059 10.049073
2026-02-22 1.388913 1.708032 2.144629 2.824070 3.944666 5.951920 10.730727
2026-03-01 1.347025 1.659582 2.088673 2.759554 3.873582 5.890036 10.784125
2026-03-08 1.311671 1.619431 2.043600 2.710339 3.826200 5.870633 10.946557
2026-03-15 1.288470 1.595686 2.021546 2.696226 3.838550 5.969809 11.447795
2026-03-22 1.266027 1.572428 1.999461 2.681056 3.847934 6.063518 11.956787